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Comment Sniff test (Score 2) 72

I am also in the camp that thinks we're in for major and damaging disruption in the job market, due to AI and other automation technology. But the notion that 100 million jobs will be lost in the next 10 years, out of a total workforce of 170 million, doesn't pass the sniff test to me.

I don't think much of their methodology, either. Asking ChatGPT about the potential effects of AI/Automation doesn't mean much unless you then also examine whatever sources ChatGPT can cough up. Most committee staffers are lawyers of one sort or another; surely they've heard the cautionary tales of what happens when you use LLM outputs uncritically. One can get ChatGT to claim the sky is green, or that you (yes, you!) are the messiah, if you give it the right prompt.

Comment Re:Limits of model organisms (Score 1) 171

Sorry, I did not mean to imply that progress had not been made. I have cancer survivors in my family, too.

What I'm getting at is the dearth of real, definite "cures" as opposed to "we've beaten it back, so you're cancer-free right now. And you've probably got lots of trouble-free years. But who knows." Along the lines of this XKCD comic.

Comment Re:Space qualified? (Score 1) 22

Are they expecting it to survive the lunar night? I think all the missions planned so far are just for daytime, with any equipment surviving the night as a mere bonus.

I guess it depends on whose plans you are watching, and how likely you think they are to come to fruition. In the near-term, Artemis only has plans for flags-and-footprints missions: short stays during daytime. However, the eventual goal is lunar colonies, so dealing with lunar nighttime will have to be tackled eventually. Even before we get to permanent colonies, though, there are plans to explore in the south polar craters - spots that are perpetually shadowed and chilling at -250 C. That's not a thermal-cycling problem, but it's definitely an operating condition well outside of normal equipment.

Comment Re:Space qualified? (Score 1) 22

Being radiation hardened and able to operate in a vacuum where there is no air to assist with cooling. It may also need to deal with heating from direct sunlight.

Don't forget periods in complete darkness, plunging down to -133 C [-210 F].

You'll experience about 13 of these thermal cycles each year. Most equipment wouldn't survive one.

Comment Re:Raspberry Pi Foundation (Score 2) 70

Dang, some of my formatting got eaten, and I didn't notice in Preview. I meant to say: You can still get a 3B+ for $40. It's only a few dollars more than the original Model B ($35) that came out in 2012! Adjusted for inflation, that $35 would be worth about $50 today - you are getting more Pi for less money. Hell, I can barely source connectors from Digikey for that price, let alone the board populated with processor and other components.

Comment Re:Who wants this? (Score 1) 70

Well, you're in luck. The Pi 500 (not plus) lacks the mechanical keyboard and RGB, depopulates the M.2 slot, and retails for about $100.

Just because you don't find it compelling doesn't mean it's useless. You may as well bitch about the existence of Rolex and say "why bother, I can get a Timex for $25."

Comment Re:Raspberry Pi Foundation (Score 1) 70

I'm not sure what you're griping about. It's not like they have introduced this up-spec toy and discontinued their less expensive offerings. The Pi 500 (not plus), missing the mechanical RGB keyboard, retails for $100. That's too expensive for a light-duty desktop replacement?

You can still get a 3B+ for connectors from for that price, let alone the board populated with processor and other components.

A low-spec Model 4 or 5 retails for $50-60.

If that's too rich for you, you can get a Pi Zero, with wireless, for
I really don't know how they are not meeting your expectations.

Comment Re:LOL! (Score 1) 79

Have you listened to him talk? He's less coherent than Biden was, for that matter he's less coherent than Reagan in his last year in the White House.

Yes, and? GP was saying "Trump isn't going to be in power much longer". Trump's been rambling and incoherent for most of his political life. He was that way during the 2024 campaign, too, and yet he was elected all the same. It's possible he'll kick the bucket imminently, but the GP doesn't know that, no more than he could point to any driver on the road and declare "that's person's going to crash soon." People were predicting Castro's imminent death for decades, and yet he kept right on. It's just wishful thinking.

Setting mortality aside, let's look at the other "early exits" from that 1200-days-and-counting timeline:
1) His rambling gets so bad that the VP and cabinet push him out via the 25th amendment. Rapid, amoral opportunists though they are, I see essentially zero chance of this happening. They were all chosen because of their slavish loyalty. And they know that there'd be MAGA mobs on their doorstep if they even tried. (Then, too, Trump can contest that removal - read the text.)
2) Impeachment and removal. The first part is at least a possibility, if the Dems retake the house in 2026. But removal by the Senate? You need a 2/3 vote in the Senate, and that ain't happening. You'd need more than a dozen Republicans to turn against him, so removal is dead on arrival. The Jan 6th impeachment proved that - they'll never oppose him.
3) Violent overthrow, via military coup or popular uprising. That to me is like crossing the event horizon - not quite sure what's on the other side, but our best theories suggest it's a one-way trip to a very unpleasant ending.

So, that leaves us with waiting out the clock.

Comment Re:The single greatest focus of our ruling class (Score 1) 62

I've come to realize that what the rich need from "us" isn't for us to produce anything. It never was. They need us to consume.

Racist, anti-semitic curmudgeon that he was, even Henry Ford recognized the value in paying his workers decently. Because if they didn't work and earn, how could they ever consume (his products)?

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